Table 2 Predicted impact of pandemic influenza on the population of active and registered primary care medical practitioners using "more severe" scenario assumptions and based on modelling with FluAid (n = 3074 doctors)
From: The potential impact of the next influenza pandemic on a national primary care medical workforce
Week of pandemic in NZ | Deaths (No.) | Hospital-isations (No.) | Illness (No.)a | Lost workdays from deaths (No.)a | Lost workdays from hospitalisations (No.) | Lost workdays from illness (No.)a | Lost workdays from caring for others | Total lost workdays (No.) | Reduction in days worked (%)a |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0.2 | 1 | 64 | 1 | 13 | 184 | 88 | 285 | 1.9% |
2 | 0.4 | 3 | 161 | 3 | 32 | 459 | 220 | 713 | 4.6% |
3 | 0.8 | 6 | 321 | 7 | 64 | 918 | 439 | 1428 | 9.3% |
4 | 0.4 | 3 | 161 | 9 | 32 | 459 | 220 | 719 | 4.7% |
5 | 0.2 | 1 | 64 | 10 | 13 | 184 | 88 | 294 | 1.9% |
6 | 0.1 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 92 | 44 | 152 | 1.0% |
Total* | 2 | 14 | 803 | 39 | 160 | 2294 | 1098 | 3591 | 2.9% |