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Table 1 Summary model outcomes

From: Using scenarios to assess the future supply of NHS nursing staff in England

Scenario

NHS England: Staff in post 2021/22

Change on 2010/11

% change

  

(headcount)

  

A

Current rates

309 297

−42 807

−12.2%

B

Current inflow & higher outflow

296 083

−56 021

−15.9%

C

Current inflow & lower outflow

385 723

+33 619

+9.5%

D

Lower inflow & lower outflow

358 734

+6 630

+1.9%

E

Lower inflow & higher outflow

271 177

−80 927

−23.0%

F

Current inflow, outflow & higher retirement

290 783

−61 321

−17.4%

G

Current inflow, outflow & lower retirement

342 844

−9 260

−2.6%

H

Lower inflow, higher outflow & higher retirement

253 088

−99 000

−28.0%

  1. Source; [1].