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Table 1 Elements included in the workforce planning model with corresponding data source

From: Ten years of health workforce planning in the Netherlands: a tentative evaluation of GP planning as an example

Element

Data source

1 HPs available in baseline year

Registration of HPs

2 Amount of FTE per HP in baseline year

Surveys

3 Available supply (total FTE) in baseline year

Calculation using 1 & 2

4 Unmet demand for care in baseline year

Expert estimations

5 Required supply (total FTE) in baseline year

Calculation using 3 & 4

6 Demographic developments

Population projections and patient registration

7 Required supply (total FTE) in target year

Calculation using 5 & 6 and 19–25 when applicable

8 Outflow

Medical registration, information work status, surveys + unexpected outflow

9 HPs available in target year

Calculation using 1, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13 & 14

10 International migration

Medical registration migration past and expert estimations future migration

11 Labour market return of migration

Information training, medical registration and information work status

12 Number in HP training

Information from HP training

13 Return on training

Information training, medical registration and information work status

14 Labour market return of training

Medical registration and information work status

15 Amount of FTE per HP in target year

Surveys

16 Available supply (total FTE) in target year

Calculation using 9 & 15

17 Difference between available and required supply

Calculation using 7 & 16

18 Required number of HPs in training

Calculation using 17

19 Epidemiological developments

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

20 Sociocultural developments

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

21 Change of working hours per FTE

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

22 Technical developments regarding the profession

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

23 Developments regarding efficiency

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

24 Developments regarding horizontal substitution

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

25 Developments regarding vertical substitution

Expert estimations, and empirical data if available

  1. FTE: full-time equivalent: HP: health professional.