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Table 8 Example of the extended model (scenario 3): General Practitioners in the Netherlands

From: Ten years of health workforce planning in the Netherlands: a tentative evaluation of GP planning as an example

Part of model Calculation
Supply and demand developments In Scenario 3, the developments of Scenario 1 and 2 are repeated and in addition experts assume that the developments regarding vertical substitution will decrease the demand for GPs by 6.0%. It is estimated that the required supply in 2019 will be 8,512 FTE.
Difference between supply and demand As we saw earlier, the total available supply in 2019 will be 8,187 FTE, which means that there will be an undersupply of 325 FTE if Scenarios 3 is applied for this period.
Future inflow in training To bridge this gap, the future number of GPs in training per year should increase from 614 to 732.