Part of model | Calculation |
---|---|
Supply and demand developments | In Scenario 3, the developments of Scenario 1 and 2 are repeated and in addition experts assume that the developments regarding vertical substitution will decrease the demand for GPs by 6.0%. It is estimated that the required supply in 2019 will be 8,512 FTE. |
Difference between supply and demand | As we saw earlier, the total available supply in 2019 will be 8,187 FTE, which means that there will be an undersupply of 325 FTE if Scenarios 3 is applied for this period. |
Future inflow in training | To bridge this gap, the future number of GPs in training per year should increase from 614 to 732. |