Projecting Thailand physician supplies between 2012 and 2030: application of cohort approaches

Table 6 Projecting physician supply and future population between 2012 and 2030

Year	Estimated population (thousands)^a	Estimated physician supply	Physician to population ratio
2012	68,251	33,471	1: 2,039
2013	68,610	34,944	1: 1,963
2014	68,980	36,515	1: 1,889
2015	69,222	38,168	1: 1,814
2016	69,455	39,909	1: 1,740
2017	69,679	41,718	1: 1,670
2018	69,893	43,540	1: 1,605
2019	70,100	45,349	1: 1,546
2020	70,217	47,081	1: 1,491
2021	70,330	48,762	1: 1,442
2022	70,440	50,505	1: 1,395
2023	70,547	52,197	1: 1,352
2024	70,651	53,864	1: 1,312
2025	72,065	55,505	1: 1,298
2026	72,400	57,101	1: 1,268
2027	72,734	58,666	1: 1,240
2028	73,069	60,204	1: 1,214
2029	73,403	61,717	1: 1,189
2030	73,738	63,212	1: 1,167

^aThe rows highlighted indicate years when the national goals of physician to population ratio of 1:1,800 and 1:1,500 will be achieved.
Source: National Economic and Social Development Board (2003).

ISSN: 1478-4491