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Table 1 Data sources for the simulation model

From: Forecasting the absolute and relative shortage of physicians in Japan using a system dynamics model approach

Variables Data sources
Current workforce in baseline year (2008) The number of physician reported by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare in 2008
Medical school quota (current) Bulletin about scheme of increases medical school quota
Pass rate at the national examination Announcement about national examination for medical doctors
Career option rate The school basic survey carried out by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, & Technology
Retirement rates We set the constant rate from trend data for the numbers of physicans reported by the MHLW
(include: death, change of speciality)
Population projection in Japan Population projection for Japan
(National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
Selection speciality rates Questionnaire survey about clinical training in 2010