Area | Selected specialization | Stock at 2011 a | Demand % increase at 2030 | Training gaps in 2030 w.r.t. ‘as is’ national grants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |||
Surgical | General surgery | 580 | 12.0 | 12.6 | 8.8 | 49 | 46 | 68 |
Gynaecology and obstetrics (Figure 1a) | 540 | 12.0 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 19 | 38 | 51 | |
Neurosurgery | 93 | 12.0 | 18.7 | 53.1 | -34 | -40 | -45 | |
Ophthalmology | 322 | 12.0 | 18.3 | 17.4 | -76 | -96 | -93 | |
Orthopaedic and trauma | 623 | 12.0 | 15.4 | 7.8 | 81 | 60 | 107 | |
Otorinolaringoiatry | 201 | 12.0 | 19.3 | 12.3 | 1 | -14 | 0 | |
Urology | 191 | 12.0 | 21.5 | 7.1 | 3 | -15 | 13 | |
Cardiac surgery | 44 | 12.0 | 13.8 | 6.9 | 53 | 53 | 56 | |
Medical | Geriatrics | 237 | 20.3 | 31.2 | 16.4 | 46 | 20 | 55 |
Internal medicine (Figure 1b) | 997 | 12.0 | 15.4 | 9.9 | -344 | -378 | -323 | |
Emergency medicine | 595 | 12.0 | 10.6 | 10.0 | -260 | -252 | -248 | |
Infant neuropsychiatry | 171 | 17.5 | 36.7 | 37.9 | 2 | -31 | -33 | |
Psychiatry | 590 | 11.1 | 4.5 | 3.6 | -63 | -25 | -19 | |
Gastroenterology | 159 | 12.0 | 34.3 | 25.9 | 31 | -5 | 9 | |
Cardiology | 553 | 12.0 | 40.0 | 15.6 | 101 | -54 | 81 | |
Respiratory diseases | 163 | 12.0 | 27.4 | 17.9 | 85 | 60 | 75 | |
Nephrology (Figure 1c) | 145 | 12.0 | 45.9 | 28.1 | 129 | 80 | 106 | |
Rheumatology | 36 | 12.0 | 34.8 | 34.3 | 64 | 56 | 56 | |
Services | Anatomopathology | 130 | 12.0 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 58 | 54 | 74 |
Radio-diagnostics | 729 | 12.0 | 32.4 | 32.3 | 148 | -1 | 1 | |
Radiotherapy | 68 | 12.0 | 41.3 | 40.6 | 115 | 95 | 95 | |
Anaesthesiology (Figure 1d) | 1,009 | 12.0 | 35.2 | 22.2 | 171 | -63 | 69 | |
Physical and rehabilitation medicine | 262 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 24 | 49 | 51 |