|
Area
|
Selected specialization
|
Stock at 2011
a
|
Demand % increase at 2030
|
Training gaps in 2030 w.r.t. ‘as is’ national grants
|
|---|
|
Scenario 1
|
Scenario 2
|
Scenario 3
|
Scenario 1
|
Scenario 2
|
Scenario 3
|
|---|
|
Surgical
|
General surgery
|
580
|
12.0
|
12.6
|
8.8
|
49
|
46
|
68
|
|
Gynaecology and obstetrics (Figure 1a)
|
540
|
12.0
|
8.5
|
6.1
|
19
|
38
|
51
|
|
Neurosurgery
|
93
|
12.0
|
18.7
|
53.1
|
-34
|
-40
|
-45
|
|
Ophthalmology
|
322
|
12.0
|
18.3
|
17.4
|
-76
|
-96
|
-93
|
|
Orthopaedic and trauma
|
623
|
12.0
|
15.4
|
7.8
|
81
|
60
|
107
|
|
Otorinolaringoiatry
|
201
|
12.0
|
19.3
|
12.3
|
1
|
-14
|
0
|
|
Urology
|
191
|
12.0
|
21.5
|
7.1
|
3
|
-15
|
13
|
|
Cardiac surgery
|
44
|
12.0
|
13.8
|
6.9
|
53
|
53
|
56
|
|
Medical
|
Geriatrics
|
237
|
20.3
|
31.2
|
16.4
|
46
|
20
|
55
|
|
Internal medicine (Figure 1b)
|
997
|
12.0
|
15.4
|
9.9
|
-344
|
-378
|
-323
|
|
Emergency medicine
|
595
|
12.0
|
10.6
|
10.0
|
-260
|
-252
|
-248
|
|
Infant neuropsychiatry
|
171
|
17.5
|
36.7
|
37.9
|
2
|
-31
|
-33
|
|
Psychiatry
|
590
|
11.1
|
4.5
|
3.6
|
-63
|
-25
|
-19
|
|
Gastroenterology
|
159
|
12.0
|
34.3
|
25.9
|
31
|
-5
|
9
|
|
Cardiology
|
553
|
12.0
|
40.0
|
15.6
|
101
|
-54
|
81
|
|
Respiratory diseases
|
163
|
12.0
|
27.4
|
17.9
|
85
|
60
|
75
|
|
Nephrology (Figure 1c)
|
145
|
12.0
|
45.9
|
28.1
|
129
|
80
|
106
|
|
Rheumatology
|
36
|
12.0
|
34.8
|
34.3
|
64
|
56
|
56
|
|
Services
|
Anatomopathology
|
130
|
12.0
|
15.4
|
0.0
|
58
|
54
|
74
|
|
Radio-diagnostics
|
729
|
12.0
|
32.4
|
32.3
|
148
|
-1
|
1
|
|
Radiotherapy
|
68
|
12.0
|
41.3
|
40.6
|
115
|
95
|
95
|
|
Anaesthesiology (Figure 1d)
|
1,009
|
12.0
|
35.2
|
22.2
|
171
|
-63
|
69
|
|
Physical and rehabilitation medicine
|
262
|
12.0
|
2.4
|
1.7
|
24
|
49
|
51
|
- aIncludes all the medical stocks: public, private and self-employed outpatient specialists.
