Table 1 Predicted impact of pandemic influenza on the population of active and registered primary care medical practitioners based on modelling with FluAid (n = 3074 doctors, 15% and 35% incidence rates)
From: The potential impact of the next influenza pandemic on a national primary care medical workforce
Week of pandemic in NZ | Deaths (No.) | Hospital – isations (No.) | Illnesses (No.)a | Lost workdays from deaths (No.)b | Lost workdays from hospitalisations (No.) | Lost workdays from illness (No.)a | Total lost workdays (No.) | Reduction in days worked (%)c |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 – 11 | 0 | 1 – 2 | 10 – 23 | 11 – 25 | 01 – 0.2% |
2 | 0.1 | 1 | 26 – 61 | 1 | 5 – 11 | 56 – 130 | 62 – 142 | 0.4 – 0.9% |
3 | 0.2 | 1 – 3 | 59 – 137 | 2 | 12 – 25 | 126 – 294 | 139 – 321 | 0.9 – 2.1% |
4 | 0.3 | 2 – 4 | 77 – 180 | 3 | 15 – 33 | 165 – 386 | 184 – 422 | 1.2 – 2.7% |
5 | 0.2 | 1 – 2 | 43 – 101 | 4 | 9 – 19 | 93 – 217 | 106 – 240 | 0.7 – 1.6% |
6 | 0.1 | 1 – 1 | 20 – 47 | 5 | 4 – 9 | 44 – 101 | 52 – 115 | 0.3 – 0.7% |
7 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 – 12 | 5 | 1 – 2 | 11 – 26 | 17 – 33 | 0.1 – 0.2% |
8 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 – 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 – 16 | 12 – 22 | 0.1% |
Totald | 1 | 6 – 13 | 239 – 556 | 25 | 47 – 102 | 512 – 1192 | 584 – 1320 | 0.5 – 1.1% |