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Table 2 Projections of the nursing workforce in the public and mission health sectors until 2010, based on findings in 2004

From: Public sector nurses in Swaziland: can the downturn be reversed?

 

Mid-2004

Mid-2005

Mid-2006

Mid-2007

Mid-2008

Mid-2009

Mid-2010

Total nurses in the public and mission sectors

758

694

634

577

524

473

426

Total inflow

80

80

80

80

80

80

80

Training output

80

80

80

80

80

80

80

Immigration

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total outflow

144

140

137

133

130

127

125

Normal retirement*

15

14

13

12

10

9

9

Retirement/death due to AIDS**

29

26

24

22

20

18

16

Emigration

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Net loss per year

64

60

57

53

50

47

45

  1. * Rate calculated at 2%
  2. ** Based on 38% HIV prevalence and estimating that 10% of HIV+ people have AIDS