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Table 4 Data sources for the simulation model

From: The current shortage and future surplus of doctors: a projection of the future growth of the Japanese medical workforce

Variable Data source
Current workforce in baseline year (2008) The number of physicians reported by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan (MHLW) in 2008 [13]. Physicians in Japan report to the MHLW every two years, and the MHLW publishes data based on these reports.
Pass rate for Japanese national examination for medical doctors Announcement about national examination for medical doctors (from 94th to 103rd) [14].
Male/female ratio of new medical graduates Announcement about national examination for medical practitioners (from 94th to 103rd) [14].
The probability that practitioners die 20th Complete Life Table of Japan published in 2007 by MHLW [15].
Population projection for Japan Population Projection for Japan: 2006-2050 (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research) [12].