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Table 5 Key assumptions of the base simulation model

From: The current shortage and future surplus of doctors: a projection of the future growth of the Japanese medical workforce

Variable

Key assumptions

New medical graduates

Only domestic students are counted. The number of medical school graduates is equal to the government's medical student quota.

The probability that practitioners die

Practitioners die according to death probabilities calculated using the Complete Life Table.

Pass rate for Japanese national examination for medical practitioners

Pass rates remain constant at the rate achieved in the last decade (2000-2009).

Male/female ratio of new medical graduates

Male/female ratios of new medical graduates remain constant at the ratio seen in the last decade (2000-2009).