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Table 1 Data sources of model input

From: Forecasting the regional distribution and sufficiency of physicians in Japan with a coupled system dynamics—geographic information system model

Variable name

Source

Parameter value

 General quota in Hokkaido

MEXT

 Regional quota

Bulletin about scheme of increases medical school quota by MEXT

 Rates of passing national exam

Announcement about national examination for medical doctors

 Rate of matching residency with hospital

Japan residency matching program conference

 Rate of students who go on to graduate school

The school basic survey carried out by the MEXT

 Choosing rate of non-clinical occupation

The school basic survey carried out by the MEXT

 Rate of staying in Hokkaido

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

 Choosing rate other prefecture

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

 Rate of inflow to Hokkaido from other area

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

 Rate of outflow from Hokkaido to other area

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

 Option rates each SMSA as occupational place

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

 Require number of physician in Hokkaido

National Survey of the required number of physicians in hospitals by MHLW

 Require number of physicians in each SMSA

National Survey of the required number of physicians in hospitals by MHLW

 Rates of retirement (include death, change of occupation)

Trend data for the numbers of physicians reported by the MHLW

Stock value

 Medical students

MEXT

 Graduate students number

MEXT

 Resident in Hokkaido

Japan residency matching program conference

 The number of physician in Hokkaido

MHLW

 The number of physician in SMSA

MHLW

 Population projection in Japan and Hokkaido

National Institute of Population and Social Security Research