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Table 3 Forecasted results for 20 years to come

From: Forecasting the regional distribution and sufficiency of physicians in Japan with a coupled system dynamics—geographic information system model

Variables

Base year

Projected

% change from 2010 to 2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Physician numbers in Hokkaido

12 019

12 684

13 650

14 575

15 449

28.5%

Sufficiency level in Hokkaido

0.88

0.93

1.00

1.06

1.13

28.4%

Physician numbers per 100 000 populations in Hokkaido

218.27

236.58

263.61

293.86

327.37

50.0%

Gini coefficient

0.140

0.139

0.132

0.125

0.121

−13.6%