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Table 4 Multinomial logistic regression predictive model of medical graduates working in same region as trained when 1–9 years post-graduation in 2017, for those who trained for 12 months or more in the Loddon Mallee or Gippsland regiona (n = 702)

From: Rural training pathways: the return rate of doctors to work in the same region as their basic medical training

Ref outcome: Metropolitan

Same rural region

Other rural region

Relative risk ratio 95% CI

Relative risk ratio 95% CI

Ref group 1–2 YPG

 3–4 YPG

0.64 (0.34–1.22)

1.53 (0.77–3.02)

 5+ YPGb

0.49 (0.27–0.90) *

1.21 (0.63–2.34)

Prefer rural at entry (ref = No)

 Yes

1.28 (0.61–2.69)

0.89 (0.44–1.83)

 Unknown

1.81 (0.69–4.77)

0.72 (0.28–1.85)

Rural bonded

1.49 (0.85–2.59)

2.26 (1.33–3.84)**

Graduate entry

1.37 (0.79–2.38)

1.10 (0.62–1.96)

Female

1.18 (0.71–1.97)

1.33 (0.80–2.23)

Rural origin

1.89 (1.05–3.43)*

4.08 (2.26–7.36)**

Medical training in the regiona for 18–24 months (ref = 12 months)

3.38 (1.91–5.98)**

1.22 (0.72–2.06)

School location (ref = Schooled in other region)

 Both schooling and training (and working) in same region

4.47 (2.13–9.35)**

n/a

 Both schooling and working (not training) in same region

n/a

2.62 (0.85–8.05)

 Missing school information

0.91 (0.39–2.12)

2.23 (1.01–4.91)

  1. n/a not applicable, YPG years post-graduate
  2. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01
  3. aWork regions are shown in Fig. 1; ‘Same rural’ includes either Loddon Mallee or Gippsland regions; ‘Other rural’ includes both Victorian and non-Victorian rural locations; ‘Metropolitan’ additionally includes metropolitan locations outside of Victoria
  4. bYPG 5–6 and YPG 7+ were collapsed together because few observations with school location were available for YPG 7+ (see Table 1)