Table 2 The list of parameters used in the supply projection model
Parameter | Definition | Input | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Enrollments | – | 399.8 | 24 | 2013–2017 |
Graduation rate | # of students taking the national exam in year t/# enrollments in year t − 6 | 0.962 | 24, 25 | 2015–2017 |
Examination rate | # of students taking the national exam in year t/# of students applying for the exam in year t | 0.803 | 25 | 2015–2017 |
Reexamination rate | # of students re-taking the national exam in year t/# of students failing the exam in year t − 1 | 0.963 | 25 | 2015–2017 |
National exam pass rate | # of students passing the national exam in year t/# of students taking the exam in a year t | 0.738 | 25 | 2015–2017 |
Reexam pass rate | # of students passing the national exam in year t/# of students re-taking the exam in year t | 0.593 | 25 | 2015–2017 |
Rate of choosing pharmacies as workplaces | increase in # of pharmacists in pharmacies in year t/# of students passing the exam in year t | 0.458 | 24 | 2013–2017 |
Rate of new graduates entering graduate schools after graduation | # of students entering graduate school in year t/# of students graduating in year t | 0.025 | 24, 25 | 2013–2017 |
Rate of graduate school students employed in pharmacies | # of graduate school students employed in pharmacies after graduation /# of graduate school students | 0.39 | 24, 25 | 2013–2017 |
Attrition rate (includes any leaving from work such as quitting work or death) | (# of students or graduates passing the national exam in year t) * (rate of choosing to work in pharmacies or hospitals)/(increase in # of pharmacists in pharmacies and hospitals)/(# of pharmacists in pharmacies and hospitals) | 0.007 | 24–26 | 2012–2016 |
Rate of choosing each medical area | Distribution of new pharmacists in each area according to the current distribution of pharmacists (Table 1) | Table 1 | 23 | 2014 |