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Table 3 The comparison of historic data and simulation data

From: Forecasting the absolute and relative shortage of physicians in Japan using a system dynamics model approach

Year

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

MSE

Historic data

248.61

255.79

262.68

270.37

277.93

286.7

0.007

Simulation data

250.39

257.88

264.74

271.16

277.09

283.71

 

Relative error

0.007

0.008

0.008

0.003

0.003

0.01

 
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Human Resources for Health

ISSN: 1478-4491