Skip to main content

Advertisement

Table 2 Projected number of specialists required by IMSS, ISSSTE and SSA, 2030 (adjusted scenarios)

From: Projections of specialist physicians in Mexico: a key element in planning human resources for health

Year Obstetrician-gynaecologist Paediatrician Internal medicine specialist Surgeon
  Scenario CI low CI high Scenario CI low CI high Scenario CI low CI high Scenario CI low CI high
  IMSS
2010 2213 2172 2231 588 532 642 987 971 1004 4000 3526 4474
2015 2256 2194 2296 502 444 557 1117 1097 1138 4850 4363 5337
2020 2299 2216 2361 415 356 472 1247 1223 1273 5701 5198 6203
2025 2342 2237 2426 328 267 387 1376 1349 1407 6552 6030 7072
2030 2386 2258 2491 242 179 303 1506 1475 1542 7402 6861 7942
  ISSSTE
2010 611 537 688 263 243 284 407 372 431 594 426 845
2015 739 501 991 247 224 271 458 399 505 595 424 844
2020 868 458 1302 230 205 258 509 424 583 590 422 843
2025 996 413 1614 214 186 245 559 447 661 554 420 842
2030 1125 369 1927 197 166 233 610 470 740 553 418 841
  SSA
2010 2934 2709 3150 1574 1512 1639 1126 879 1372 2858 2611 3105
2015 3539 3308 3761 1903 1838 1969 1526 1272 1779 3455 3201 3708
2020 4144 3906 4374 2231 2164 2299 1927 1664 2187 4051 3788 4312
2025 4750 4503 4987 2559 2490 2630 2327 2055 2596 4648 4375 4918
2030 5355 5099 5602 2887 2816 2960 2727 2444 3007 5245 4961 5524
  1. Note: Productivity estimates include only general and specialty office visits, based on 252 workdays per year. Confidence interval set at 95%.
  2. Source: Secretaría de Salud-SINAIS. Boletín de Información Estadística, 2000–2008.
  3. SSA Ministry of Health, IMSS Mexican Institute of Social Security, ISSSTE Institute of Services and Social Security for State Workers.