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Table 4 Scenario analysis: diffusions of newly licensed pharmacists

From: Projecting supply and demand for pharmacists in pharmacies based on the number of prescriptions and system dynamics modeling

  Base scenario (reflected the current distribution in 2014) (%) Previous trend scenario (reflected the trend in 2006–2012) (%) Recent trend scenario (reflected the trend in 2012–2018) (%)
Sapporo 50.0 56.0 64.7
Kamikawachubu 8.2 10.7 8.6
Minamioshima 7.6 7.7 2.5
Tokachi 5.5 4.2 4.2
Kushiro 3.9 4.1 3.2
Hokumo 3.0 4.2 0.3
Shiribeshi 4.2 1.4 3.9
Higashiiburi 3.3 4.6 2.1
Nishiiburi 3.2 4.0 0.7
Minamisorachi 2.5 − 0.2 3.0
Nakasorachi 1.8 1.8 − 0.5
Nemuro 0.7 − 0.6 0.5
Emmon 0.6 0.8 3.3
Hidaka 1.2 0.5 1.9
Soya 0.8 0.2 − 0.8
Kamikawahokubu 1.0 0.6 1.5
Rumoi 0.7 − 0.2 0.1
Kitaoshimahiyama 0.4 0.7 − 0.4
Kitasorachi 0.3 − 0.2 − 0.1
Furano 0.7 − 0.8 1.2
Minamihiyama 0.2 0.4 0.1
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