2011 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | 2011–2016 Source | Projection | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average number of individual obstetrical sessions per pregnancy (low-risk) | 1.0 | 1.4 | IMA-AIM | ||||||
• Baseline | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | Constant | |||
• Scenario A multiparous | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.0 | Elicitation | |||
Primiparous | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 5.0 | Elicitation | |||
• Scenarios B and C multiparous | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 6.0 | Elicitation | |||
Primiparous | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 8.0 | Elicitation | |||
Average number of individual obstetrical sessions per pregnancy (moderate- to high-risk) | 0.8 | 3.4 | Econodat and IMA-AIM | ||||||
• Baseline and Scenario A | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | Constant | |||
• Scenarios B and C | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | Elicitation | |||
Average number of individual sessions on preparation for birth and parenthood education per pregnancy | 0.3 | 0.6 | Econodat and IMA-AIM | ||||||
• Baseline | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | Constant | |||
• Scenarios A, B and C – Multiparous | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | Elicitation | |||
– Primiparous | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.0 | Elicitation | |||
Average number of group sessions of preparation for birth and parenting per pregnancy | 0.3 | 0.4 | Econodat and IMA-AIM | ||||||
• Baseline | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | Constant | |||
• Scenarios A, B and C – Multiparous | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Elicitation | |||
– Primiparous | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | Elicitation | |||
Average length of stay (number of days) | |||||||||
• Baseline, scenario A and scenario B—examples | |||||||||
o APR-DRG 540 (caesarean) – SOI 1 – 25–34 y | 5.7 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||
– 35–39 y | 5.7 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | ||
o APR-DRG 560 (vaginal) – SOI 1 – 25–34 y | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||
– 35–39 y | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||
• Scenario C | |||||||||
o APR-DRG 560 – SOI 1: for all age groups | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | ||||
– SOI 2: for all age groups | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | ||||
o APR-DRG 540 – SOI 1: for all age groups | 4.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||||
– SOI 2: for all age groups | 5.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | ||||
Average number of postnatal monitoring and care services as of the 6th day postpartum | 0.9 | 1.7 | Econodat and IMA-AIM | ||||||
Baseline, Scenario A, and Scenario B - Multiparous | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | Elicitation | |||
- Primiparous | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | Elicitation | |||
Scenario C - Multiparous | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | Elicitation | |||
- Primiparous | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | Elicitation | |||
Inclusion of coordination tasks via an increase in the length of the prenatal and postnatal consultations (%) | 20% | Elicitation | |||||||
Baseline and scenario A | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | Elicitation | |||
Scenarios B and C | 21% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 25% | Elicitation |